PhD research analyzing 17,000+ companies reveals the errors that quietly destroy portfolio returns. Most analysts make at least one.
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These aren't theoretical concepts. They're patterns extracted from a global dataset spanning industries, geographies, and market cycles.
Why even experienced analysts systematically overestimate revenue growth by 25-40% — and the simple framework that corrects it. Based on data from 17,000+ company valuations.
A career spent at the intersection of academic rigor and real-world investing. This report distills three decades of research into the mistakes that cost investors the most.
"Dr. Stotz's framework fundamentally changed how I approach valuation. The mistakes outlined in this report are exactly the ones I was making early in my career."
"Backed by real data from thousands of companies — not just theory. This is the kind of research-driven insight that's hard to find in our industry."
"I shared this report with my entire investment team. The forecasting framework alone saved us from a major overvaluation on our latest deal."
"As someone preparing for the CFA exam, this gave me practical context that textbooks never cover. Real-world valuation errors backed by 17,000 data points."
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